Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious Outperformance
Find Stocks Now

Asia FX sees some relief as dollar retreats; rate fears remain in play

Published 04/18/2024, 12:06 AM
Updated 04/18/2024, 12:06 AM
© Reuters

Investing.com-- Most Asian currencies crept higher on Thursday, seeing some breathing room as the dollar retreated from an over five-month peak, although fears of higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates remained at the fore.

Regional currencies were nursing steep losses in recent sessions, as strong U.S. economic data and hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve sparked a rally in the dollar and Treasury yields.

But the greenback saw some profit-taking on Wednesday, while sentiment improved marginally amid a lack of immediate escalation in Iran-Israel tensions. 

Dollar falls from 5-½ month high

The dollar index and dollar index futures both fell slightly in Asian trade, extending overnight declines as markets locked-in some recent profits in the greenback. 

Both indicators still remained close to levels last seen in early-November. 

The near-term outlook for the greenback still remained upbeat, especially as traders were seen almost entirely scaling back bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in June. 

This notion was spurred by strong U.S. inflation data, while Fed Chair Jerome Powell also flagged the possibility of higher-for-longer rates in an address earlier this week. 

The prospect of high U.S. interest rates bodes poorly for Asian markets, given that it narrows the gap between risky and low-risk yields. 

U.S. Treasury yields also shot up in recent sessions, with the 10-year yield close to a five-month high. 

Rate fears keep Asia FX subdued

Broader Asian currencies firmed slightly, seeing some relief from a dip in the dollar. But gains were limited as fears of U.S. interest rates remained in play.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

The Japanese yen strengthened in recent sessions, with the USDJPY pair moving back towards 153 after testing 34-year highs above 154. Weakness in the yen also saw markets remain cautious over government intervention.

Japanese consumer inflation data, due on Friday, is expected to offer more cues on the yen.

The Australian dollar’s AUDUSD pair rose 0.3%, recovering further from five-month lows hit this week. While data for March showed some cooling in the Australian labor force, the sector still remained relatively tight.

The Chinese yuan’s USDCNY pair moved little after surging to five-month highs in recent weeks. Uncertainty over the Chinese economy kept traders biased against the yuan, as the People’s Bank moved to stem further losses in the currency.

The South Korean won’s USDKRW pair fell 0.4%, while the Singapore dollar’s USDSGD pair shed 0.1%. 

The Indian rupee’s USDINR pair remained close to record highs above 83.5.

Latest comments

Once market open it will deceptively manipulated to rate cut cheers
In two hours: US futures up on rate hopes.
Waning fear of rate cuts may be helping the bond market. Not long after the Fed started talking rate cuts, the bond market started hiking rates. With those fears of rate cuts receding, the bond market could turn to cuts. The more the Fed worries about inflation, the less the markets have to.
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.