🤯 Have you seen our AI stock pickers’ 2024 results? 84.62%! Grab November’s list now.Pick Stocks with AI

Swedish crown hits six-and-half-year low on bets for more easing

Published 10/27/2016, 08:11 AM
© Reuters. Euro, Hong Kong dollar, U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, British pound and Chinese 100-yuan banknotes are seen in a picture illustration
EUR/NOK
-
NOK/SEK
-
US10YT=X
-
DXY
-

By Jemima Kelly

LONDON (Reuters) - Sweden's crown hit a 6-1/2-year low against the euro on Thursday, after the central bank said the chances of another interest rate cut had increased and it was ready to expand its quantitative easing program further.

The Riksbank has already slashed rates to -0.5 percent, and is on track to buy 40 percent of the stock of outstanding government bonds by year end. But inflation remains subdued and the central bank said it would take longer to hit its target than previously expected.

The crown initially rose after the announcement, as traders reacted to interest rates being left unchanged and the central bank's saying it saw the repo rate averaging -0.5 percent in the fourth quarter, slightly above a prior forecast of -0.52 percent.

But it then fell sharply, losing 0.8 percent on the day to trade at 9.8000 crowns per euro (EURNOK=D4), its weakest since May 2010. Against the dollar, it fell 0.6 percent to hit a 7-1/2-year low .

"The tone of the statement was rather dovish," said ING currency strategist Petr Krpata, in London. "Although no QE extension was announced today, the statement sent a strong hint ... at more."

The dollar traded close to a three-month high against the yen, underpinned by higher U.S. bond yields and growing expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by the end of the year.

The market is now pricing in a 78 percent chance that the Fed will raise rates at its December meeting, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool, following a series of hawkish comments from Fed policymakers.

Those expectations have driven the dollar to nine-month highs against a basket of currencies (DXY) this week. Higher 10-year U.S. Treasury yields (US10YT=RR), which rose to 1.813 percent in Asian trade, their highest since this month's five-month peak of 1.814 percent, have also supported the dollar.

"We're seeing a renewed pick-up in Fed rate hike expectations, which will likely intensify going into the November Fed meeting next week," Credit Agricole's head of G10 currency research, Valentin Marinov, said.

"We will be looking for an explicit indication in the statement that rates will be going higher in December."

Marinov said that the dollar was also being supported by a pick-up in corporate demand for dollar funding into the end of the year.

Against the yen, the greenback rose 0.2 percent to 104.65 , just off its high of 104.875 touched on Tuesday.

© Reuters. Euro, Hong Kong dollar, U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, British pound and Chinese 100-yuan banknotes are seen in a picture illustration

Norway's crown rose around half a percent after the central bank left interest rates unchanged and signaled that they would remain at their current levels in the period ahead. Against its Swedish counterpart, it climbed 1.5 percent to a its strongest since June 2015 (NOKSEK=).

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.